Hurricane Ian Update (9/26/22)
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Hazardous Weather Update from N.C. Emergency Management
Ian strengthened into a hurricane and is expected to rapidly intensify into a major hurricane (category 3 or higher) tonight as it approaches western Cuba.
- Hurricane Ian is currently southwest of the Grand Cayman moving toward the northwest. Overall, there has been little change to the forecast over the last 24 hours, but confidence in the track beyond Wednesday remains very low. Ian is currently expected to slowly approach the west coast of Florida on Wednesday and Thursday.
- The greatest threat to NC will likely be heavy rain, but gusty winds, coastal flooding, and isolated tornadoes will also be possible. The threat for heavy rain and breezy winds will likely increase late Thursday along the coast, with the greatest and most widespread impacts expected Friday – Saturday. Widespread heavy rain could result in areas of flash flooding and the potential for river flooding.
- It is important to not focus on the actual forecast track, but to prepare for impacts within and outside of the cone of uncertainty. Timing, location, and magnitude of impacts will gain clarity over the next few days as the forecast becomes more refined.
- Prior to Ian, most areas will remain dry through Thursday afternoon, but isolated showers/storms will be possible near the coast today and Wednesday.
- The National Hurricane Center is also monitoring an area of low pressure located several hundred miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands that has a 70% (High) chance of development over the next 5 days. While a tropical depression may form in the next few days, conditions will become less favorable for development afterwards and this system is not expected to pose a threat to the southeast United States.