NCDA&CS Update on Hurricane Dorian (9/5/19)

— Written By

This newsletter contains important information from the North Carolina Department of Agriculture and Consumer Services Veterinary Division’s Livestock Unit in regards to Hurricane Dorian. Please share this information with other producers.

To subscribe to this newsletter, please send an email to the Veterinary Division’s general email account, Joe.Web@ncagr.gov. View the department’s Disaster Planning website.

Hurricane Dorian Update

Southeastern NC is beginning to see dangerous conditions from Dorian as it makes it way northward. Both flooding and tornadoes have already been reported this morning along the coast. Significant impacts from heavy rain, damaging winds, and storm surge will continue to unfold through Friday across eastern NC.

A Tornado Watch has been issued for the eastern Piedmont and Coastal Plain and could expand to additional areas through the day.Life-threatening flash flooding is likely along coastal NC. It’s important to ensure you have several ways of receiving warnings. Keep electronics charged and remain updated with the latest weather conditions from trusted sources, including your NOAA Weather Radio, local broadcast media, and the National Weather Service.
Heavy Rain
  • Eastern NC: 6-12” with locally higher amounts up to 15”
  • Central NC: 3-6″” of rain south and east of the Triangle with lesser amounts west (<3”)
  • Heaviest rainfall is expected along and east of I-95 Thursday through Friday
  • A Flash Flood Watch is in effect for areas east of US-1 through Friday
  • Flooding/flash flooding impacts include the potential for road closures, rapid rises in small streams and creeks, and flooding in low-lying and prone areas
  • Flood waters could enter structures within multiple communities
  • Never walk or drive through moving water or flooding
Damaging Winds
  • Coastal NC: Sustained winds 60-100 mph, gusts 75-125 mph
  • Inland Eastern NC (along and east of I-95): Sustained winds 35-65 mph, gusts 45-75 mph
  • Central NC: Sustained winds 20-35 mph, gusts 30-45 mph (strongest east of US-1)
  • Tropical storm force winds will increase this afternoon through Friday morning
  • The greatest threat for hurricane force winds will be Thursday night into Friday along the immediate coast, though gusts could occur across eastern NC
  • Impacts in areas with the highest winds include downed trees, widespread power outages, and damage to weak structures
  • Although winds will be lower north and west of I-95, isolated trees and power lines could still come down
Life-Threatening Storm Surge
  • South of Cape Lookout: 4-7’ above ground
  • Cape Lookout to Duck (including Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds and the Neuse and Pamlico Rivers): 4-6’ above ground
  • North of Duck: 2-4’ above ground
  • Initial impacts will be along the ocean before threat transitions to sound side areas as Dorian moves through
  • Surge could cause large sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads to be washed out or severely flooded
  • Additional impacts could include damage to vulnerable structures, major beach erosion, and damage to docks and piers
Riverine and Coastal Flooding
  • Major flooding expected: Atlantic Coast at Duck (peaking Friday PM), Pamlico Sound at Cape Hatteras Coast Guard Station (peaking Friday PM)
  • Moderate flooding expected: Cape Fear River at Wilmington (peaking Thursday PM), Bogue Sound at Beaufort, NC – Pivers Island (peaking Friday AM), NE Cape Fear River near Chinquapin (peaking Monday PM), NE Cape Fear River near Burgaw (peaking Monday AM)
Tornadoes
  • The threat of tornadoes will persist across portions of central and eastern NC through Friday as Dorian’s bands expand northward
  • The Storm Prediction Center has issued an Enhanced Risk for severe weather across eastern NC for Thursday
Marine and Coastal
  • Rip currents and dangerous surf will occur through Friday
  • Severe beach erosion, significant dune loss, and ocean overwash is expected
  • Overwash will make roads impassable especially at periods of high tide

Rainfall Amounts and Wind Forecasts (September 5, 2019)
Tropical Weather Update (September 5, 2019)